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Decarbonisation

Q4 2023 Commentary

We have decided to split this group between the companies involved directly in the energy transition, and those working on carbon and other pollutant reduction in food and other consumer products. 

Energy

The record temperatures in 2023 have kept the pressure on at least Western governments to continue with climate change mitigation projects, though a return of Donald Trump to the White House would move the USA onto the dark side. Continued tensions between the West and China have kept the pressure on finding new materials and technologies to accomplish this. There are a number of key technologies and many variants. Not all will prove successful, and even if successful they may not necessarily reach commercial adoption, therefore a range of investments makes sense. The companies we follow include manufacturers of fuel cells for hydrogen production, and for electricity production from hydrogen; new battery technologies, as well as engineering companies working on energy-saving materials and technologies. New battery technologies defeated Johnson Matthey, and we hope that Gelion will manage to make something of the IP they picked up from them. AFC Energy seem to have found a niche in the portable hydrogen-driven electricity supply market. Clean Power Hydrogen is however struggling to get their innovative electrolyser through to production.  

 

There is no widely used benchmark for this group: the S&P Kensho Hydrogen Economy Index (over 88% weighting to US companies, ticker KHEUP) has been roughly flat in 2023, closing the year at about half its peak level of early 2021. We continue to follow the Hydrogen One Fund which invests in a range of hydrogen technologies, and note that the share price has recovered some of the over 50% discount to NAV which it was trading at during times last year. The fund offers exposure to a number of technologies and projects with an experienced management.  

 

We continue to see technical advances and moves towards commercial adoption, albeit large OEMs tend to want to run prolonged trials to ensure that new technologies continue to work over time, and not just “out of the box”, and large buyers will continue to play safe.  

Sustainable Agriculture & Consumer Products

This group includes companies looking to improve the carbon footprint of the agricultural and food production industries through efficiencies and new technologies. There are mix of issues facing companies here, from regulatory delays (e.g new crop protection treatments), to financial matters facing potential customers. Persuading customers to change the components they use in order to improve energy efficiency is often desirable but not necessarily affordable. Nonetheless in all cases the route to market is clear.  

 

We include in this group the investment company Agronomics which provides exposure to a wide range of new cell-based food production technologies, which offer a solution to the problem of sustainability in conventional meat and other protein-based food production. Increased customer awareness of the need to source food and other products ethically and sustainably are driving uptake.  

 

Q4 saw some important regulatory approvals for some of Eden Research’s crop protection products (continuing into 2024), but Light Science Technologies continues to struggle to make an impact with its greenhouse technology (it seems to be becoming more of an electronics assembler), and Biome noted that their compostable tree guards are taking time to be proven in field trials despite the widespread customer interests. Regulatory support is sometimes less evident than good intentions!   


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Energy Transition

Sustainable Agriculture & Consumer Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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